Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Ittihad Tanger and CR Khemis Zemamra on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
CR Khemis Zemamra travel to Ittihad Tanger on 1 November 2026 at Stade Ibn Batouta, Tangier. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 36%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 6 fixture in Botola Pro is listed as Ittihad Tanger - CR Khemis Zemamra. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Ittihad Tanger: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 8 conceded in ten matches, 0.9 and 0.8 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
CR Khemis Zemamra: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 12 conceded in ten matches, 0.8 and 1.2 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ittihad Tanger | CR Khemis Zemamra |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 16th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLDW | LDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 7 | 5 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 10 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.3 | 26.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 33% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Ittihad Tanger 48.3 versus CR Khemis Zemamra 26.8, a gap of 21.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.20, over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans CR Khemis Zemamra's way at 44%.
The call
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. Ittihad Tanger's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ittihad Tanger or CR Khemis Zemamra?
Neither side. Our model splits it 31% Ittihad Tanger, 36% the draw and 33% CR Khemis Zemamra, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra being played?
1 November 2026 at Stade Ibn Batouta, Tangier, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Ittihad Tanger and CR Khemis Zemamra?
CR Khemis Zemamra 1-0 Ittihad Tanger on 08 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Ittihad Tanger and CR Khemis Zemamra?
Ittihad Tanger have taken 7 points from their last five (LWLDW), CR Khemis Zemamra 1 from theirs (LDLLL). Most recently Ittihad Tanger took a 0-2 defeat away at FAR Rabat and CR Khemis Zemamra a 0-1 defeat at home to FUS Rabat.
How many goals are expected in Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.20 — 0.80 for Ittihad Tanger and 0.40 for CR Khemis Zemamra. It rates over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.