Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger match summary and prediction — Botola Pro
Our model makes Raja Casablanca the pick at 54% for Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Raja Casablanca host Ittihad Tanger on 8 November 2026 at Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca. Raja Casablanca are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 7 fixture in Botola Pro is listed as Raja Casablanca - Ittihad Tanger. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Raja Casablanca: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 6 conceded in nine matches, 1.56 and 0.67 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -1.
Ittihad Tanger: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 8 conceded in ten matches, 0.9 and 0.8 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Raja Casablanca | Ittihad Tanger |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWDD | WLWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 5 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 9 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.56 / 0.67 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.78 | 1.4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.8 | 48.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 18% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Raja Casablanca 44.8 versus Ittihad Tanger 48.6, a gap of 3.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 40%.
- First goal: Leans Raja Casablanca's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Raja Casablanca at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Raja Casablanca's way, especially at Stade Mohamed V.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Raja Casablanca or Ittihad Tanger?
Raja Casablanca, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Raja Casablanca, 27% the draw and 18% Ittihad Tanger.
When and where is Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger being played?
8 November 2026 at Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Raja Casablanca and Ittihad Tanger met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Raja Casablanca and Ittihad Tanger?
Raja Casablanca have taken 6 points from their last five (LDWDD), Ittihad Tanger 7 from theirs (WLWLD). Most recently Raja Casablanca took a 0-2 defeat away at Renaissance Berkane and Ittihad Tanger a 1-0 win at home to CR Khemis Zemamra.
How many goals are expected in Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.60 for Raja Casablanca and 0.80 for Ittihad Tanger. It rates over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 40%, so its call is no.