Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Racing Montevideo the pick at 53% for Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cerro Largo travel to Racing Montevideo on 31 October 2026 at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo. Racing Montevideo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This clausura 13 fixture in Primera División is listed as Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Racing Montevideo: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.3 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +12.
Cerro Largo: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Racing Montevideo | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +12 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLLL | WLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 4 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.3 | 36.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 22% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Racing Montevideo 41.3 versus Cerro Largo 36.8, a gap of 4.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.50, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans Racing Montevideo's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Racing Montevideo at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Racing Montevideo's way, especially at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Racing Montevideo or Cerro Largo?
Racing Montevideo, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Racing Montevideo, 25% the draw and 22% Cerro Largo.
When and where is Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Racing Montevideo and Cerro Largo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Racing Montevideo and Cerro Largo?
Racing Montevideo have taken 4 points from their last five (DWLLL), Cerro Largo 4 from theirs (WLDLL). Most recently Racing Montevideo took a 3-3 draw away at Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo a 2-0 win at home to Boston River.
How many goals are expected in Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.50 — 1.50 for Racing Montevideo and 2.00 for Cerro Largo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.