Cerro vs Central Espanol: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Cerro the pick at 52% for Cerro vs Central Espanol. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Cerro host Central Espanol on 31 October 2026 at Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo. Cerro are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This clausura 13 fixture in Primera División is listed as Cerro - Central Espanol. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cerro: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.9 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -23.
Central Espanol: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored one and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 21.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -14.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cerro | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -23 | -14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLD | LLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 8 | 1 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.9 | 21.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Cerro 35.9 versus Central Espanol 21.5, a gap of 14.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.50, over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans Cerro's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Cerro at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Cerro's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Cerro's way, especially at Monumental Luis Tróccoli.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cerro or Central Espanol?
Cerro, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Cerro, 25% the draw and 24% Central Espanol.
When and where is Cerro vs Central Espanol being played?
31 October 2026 at Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Cerro and Central Espanol met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Cerro and Central Espanol?
Cerro have taken 5 points from their last five (LDWLD), Central Espanol 0 from theirs (LLLLL). Most recently Cerro took a 1-3 defeat away at Atletico Torque and Central Espanol a 1-3 defeat at home to Albion FC.
How many goals are expected in Cerro vs Central Espanol?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.50 — 1.00 for Cerro and 0.50 for Central Espanol. It rates over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.