Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Liverpool Montevideo face Juventud on 1 November 2026 at Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo. Juventud are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This clausura 13 fixture in Primera División is listed as Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Liverpool Montevideo: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +14.
Juventud: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.0 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Liverpool Montevideo | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 9th |
| Goal difference | +14 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWDW | WDLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 3 | 5 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 71.8 | 44.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Liverpool Montevideo 71.8 versus Juventud 44.0, a gap of 27.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Juventud's way at 45%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Juventud is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Liverpool Montevideo or Juventud?
Juventud, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 33% Liverpool Montevideo, 31% the draw and 36% Juventud.
When and where is Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud being played?
1 November 2026 at Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Have Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud?
Liverpool Montevideo have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWDW), Juventud 10 from theirs (WDLWW). Most recently Liverpool Montevideo took a 1-0 win away at Club Nacional and Juventud a 2-0 win away at Nacional Florida.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 0.75 for Liverpool Montevideo and 1.60 for Juventud. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.