Altrincham vs Notts County — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Notts County the pick at 45% for Altrincham vs Notts County. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Notts County travel to Altrincham on 7 November 2026 at Moss Lane, Altrincham. Notts County are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Altrincham - Notts County. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Altrincham: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Notts County: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored ten and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Altrincham | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWD | WDWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 7 | 10 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 45% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Notts County's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Notts County at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Altrincham or Notts County?
Notts County, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 30% Altrincham, 25% the draw and 45% Notts County.
When and where is Altrincham vs Notts County being played?
7 November 2026 at Moss Lane, Altrincham, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Altrincham and Notts County met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Altrincham and Notts County?
Altrincham have taken 8 points from their last five (LDWWD), Notts County 10 from theirs (WDWLW). Most recently Altrincham took a 2-4 defeat at home to Carlisle and Notts County a 2-0 win away at Mansfield Town.
How many goals are expected in Altrincham vs Notts County?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 1.35 for Altrincham and 1.00 for Notts County. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.