Barnsley vs Aldershot Town match summary and prediction — FA Cup
Our model makes Barnsley the pick at 59% for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Barnsley face Aldershot Town on 7 November 2026 at Oakwell, Barnsley. Barnsley are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Barnsley - Aldershot Town. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Barnsley: they come in on the back of a draw, following four defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Aldershot Town: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Barnsley | Aldershot Town |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLL | WLLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 10 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 24% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.55, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Barnsley's way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Barnsley at 59%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. Aldershot Town's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Barnsley's way, especially at Oakwell.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Barnsley or Aldershot Town?
Barnsley, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Barnsley, 17% the draw and 24% Aldershot Town.
When and where is Barnsley vs Aldershot Town being played?
7 November 2026 at Oakwell, Barnsley, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Barnsley and Aldershot Town met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Barnsley and Aldershot Town?
Barnsley have taken 1 points from their last five (DLLLL), Aldershot Town 7 from theirs (WLLWD). Most recently Barnsley took a 1-1 draw at home to Oxford United and Aldershot Town a 1-0 win at home to Gateshead.
How many goals are expected in Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.55 — 1.20 for Barnsley and 1.35 for Aldershot Town. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.