Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Chesterfield the pick at 74% for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Yeovil Town travel to Chesterfield on 7 November 2026 at SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield. Chesterfield are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 74%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Chesterfield - Yeovil Town. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Chesterfield: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Yeovil Town: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Chesterfield | Yeovil Town |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDLD | LWLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 9 | 11 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 74% | 12% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.55, over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Chesterfield's way at 73%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Chesterfield at 74%, a gap of 60 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Chesterfield's way, especially at SMH Group Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Chesterfield or Yeovil Town?
Chesterfield, with an implied win probability of roughly 74%. The full split is 74% Chesterfield, 14% the draw and 12% Yeovil Town.
When and where is Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town being played?
7 November 2026 at SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Chesterfield and Yeovil Town met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Chesterfield and Yeovil Town?
Chesterfield have taken 5 points from their last five (LWDLD), Yeovil Town 7 from theirs (LWLWD). Most recently Chesterfield took a 1-4 defeat away at Newport County and Yeovil Town a 0-2 defeat away at FC Halifax Town.
How many goals are expected in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.55 — 3.20 for Chesterfield and 1.35 for Yeovil Town. It rates over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.