Colchester vs Worcester City: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Colchester the pick at 58% for Colchester vs Worcester City. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Worcester City travel to Colchester on 7 November 2026. Colchester are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Colchester - Worcester City. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Colchester: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored two and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Worcester City: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored ten and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Colchester | Worcester City |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDDL | WWWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 7 | 10 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 24% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.95, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Colchester's way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Colchester at 58%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. Worcester City's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Colchester or Worcester City?
Colchester, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% Colchester, 18% the draw and 24% Worcester City.
When and where is Colchester vs Worcester City being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Colchester and Worcester City met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Colchester and Worcester City?
Colchester have taken 2 points from their last five (LLDDL), Worcester City 10 from theirs (WWWDL). Most recently Colchester took a 1-3 defeat at home to Walsall and Worcester City a 4-1 win at home to Real Bedford.
How many goals are expected in Colchester vs Worcester City?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.95 — 0.60 for Colchester and 1.35 for Worcester City. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.