Gillingham vs Barrow: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Gillingham the pick at 54% for Gillingham vs Barrow. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Barrow travel to Gillingham on 7 November 2026 at Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham. Gillingham are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Gillingham - Barrow. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Gillingham: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 45 conceded in 23 matches, 0.87 and 1.96 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Barrow: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 46 conceded in 24 matches, 0.88 and 1.92 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Gillingham | Barrow |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDLW | DWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 12 | 7 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.87 / 1.96 | 0.88 / 1.92 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.83 | 0.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 25% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Gillingham's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Gillingham at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Gillingham's way, especially at Priestfield Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Gillingham or Barrow?
Gillingham, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Gillingham, 21% the draw and 25% Barrow.
When and where is Gillingham vs Barrow being played?
7 November 2026 at Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Gillingham and Barrow?
Barrow 0-1 Gillingham on 28 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Gillingham and Barrow?
Gillingham have taken 7 points from their last five (WLDLW), Barrow 11 from theirs (DWWWD). Most recently Gillingham took a 2-1 win away at Shrewsbury and Barrow a 1-1 draw at home to Eastleigh.
How many goals are expected in Gillingham vs Barrow?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.00 for Gillingham and 1.40 for Barrow. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.