Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Harrogate Town the pick at 56% for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Harrogate Town face AFC Fylde on 7 November 2026 at Exercise Stadium, Harrogate. Harrogate Town are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Harrogate Town - AFC Fylde. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Harrogate Town: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
AFC Fylde: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Harrogate Town | AFC Fylde |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWD | WWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 13 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 56% | 22% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.55, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Harrogate Town's way at 61%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Harrogate Town at 56%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Harrogate Town's way, especially at Exercise Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Harrogate Town or AFC Fylde?
Harrogate Town, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 56% Harrogate Town, 22% the draw and 22% AFC Fylde.
When and where is Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde being played?
7 November 2026 at Exercise Stadium, Harrogate, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Harrogate Town and AFC Fylde met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Harrogate Town and AFC Fylde?
Harrogate Town have taken 8 points from their last five (DLWWD), AFC Fylde 12 from theirs (WWLWW). Most recently Harrogate Town took a 2-2 draw away at Forest Green and AFC Fylde a 3-1 win at home to AFC Hornchurch.
How many goals are expected in Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.55 — 1.20 for Harrogate Town and 1.35 for AFC Fylde. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.