Plymouth vs Alvechurch: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Plymouth the pick at 67% for Plymouth vs Alvechurch. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Plymouth host Alvechurch on 7 November 2026 at Home Park, Plymouth. Plymouth are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 67%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Plymouth - Alvechurch. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Plymouth: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Alvechurch: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 15 and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Plymouth | Alvechurch |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLLW | WDDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 8 | 15 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 67% | 16% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.15, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Plymouth's way at 68%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Plymouth at 67%, a gap of 49 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Plymouth's way, especially at Home Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Plymouth or Alvechurch?
Plymouth, with an implied win probability of roughly 67%. The full split is 67% Plymouth, 18% the draw and 16% Alvechurch.
When and where is Plymouth vs Alvechurch being played?
7 November 2026 at Home Park, Plymouth, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Plymouth and Alvechurch met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Plymouth and Alvechurch?
Plymouth have taken 7 points from their last five (DWLLW), Alvechurch 9 from theirs (WDDWD). Most recently Plymouth took a 0-0 draw at home to Reading and Alvechurch a 3-1 win away at Leiston.
How many goals are expected in Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.15 — 1.80 for Plymouth and 1.35 for Alvechurch. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.