Malta vs Eswatini — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Malta the pick at 40% for Malta vs Eswatini. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Eswatini travel to Malta on 12 November 2026. Malta are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Malta - Eswatini. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Malta: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eight and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Eswatini: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored three and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Malta | Eswatini |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWW | LLLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 2 | 3 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.35, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans Malta's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Malta at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Malta's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Malta or Eswatini?
Malta, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Malta, 28% the draw and 31% Eswatini.
When and where is Malta vs Eswatini being played?
12 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Malta and Eswatini met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Malta and Eswatini?
Malta have taken 13 points from their last five (WDWWW), Eswatini 1 from theirs (LLLDL). Most recently Malta took a 1-0 win at home to Andorra and Eswatini a 1-2 defeat at home to Eritrea.
How many goals are expected in Malta vs Eswatini?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.35 — 0.00 for Malta and 1.35 for Eswatini. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.