Saudi Arabia vs South Korea: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes South Korea the pick at 50% for Saudi Arabia vs South Korea. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
South Korea travel to Saudi Arabia on 13 November 2026. South Korea are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Saudi Arabia - South Korea. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Saudi Arabia: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (3 scored and 13 conceded in six matches, 0.5 and 2.17 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
South Korea: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 8 conceded in seven matches, 1.14 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Saudi Arabia | South Korea |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWW | WDLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 0 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 5 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.5 / 2.17 | 1.14 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.33 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 22% | 50% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans South Korea's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to South Korea at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Saudi Arabia or South Korea?
South Korea, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 22% Saudi Arabia, 29% the draw and 50% South Korea.
When and where is Saudi Arabia vs South Korea being played?
13 November 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Have Saudi Arabia and South Korea met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Saudi Arabia and South Korea?
Saudi Arabia have taken 13 points from their last five (WDWWW), South Korea 7 from theirs (WDLWL). Most recently Saudi Arabia took a 2-0 win at home to United Arab Emirates and South Korea a 2-0 win at home to Uzbekistan.
How many goals are expected in Saudi Arabia vs South Korea?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.60 for Saudi Arabia and 1.60 for South Korea. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.