Argentina vs Uruguay — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Argentina the pick at 57% for Argentina vs Uruguay. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Argentina host Uruguay on 13 November 2026 at Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires. Argentina are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Argentina - Uruguay. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Argentina: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored 16 and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Uruguay: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Argentina | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLW | WWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 16 / 2 | 13 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 19% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Argentina's way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Argentina at 57%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Argentina's way, especially at Estadio Alberto J. Armando.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Argentina or Uruguay?
Argentina, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% Argentina, 24% the draw and 19% Uruguay.
When and where is Argentina vs Uruguay being played?
13 November 2026 at Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Have Argentina and Uruguay met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Argentina and Uruguay?
Argentina have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWLW), Uruguay 7 from theirs (WWLLD). Most recently Argentina took a 3-0 win at home to Benin and Uruguay a 6-1 win away at India.
How many goals are expected in Argentina vs Uruguay?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 2.20 for Argentina and 0.80 for Uruguay. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.