Peru vs Bolivia: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Peru the pick at 50% for Peru vs Bolivia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Peru host Bolivia on 14 November 2026 at Estadio Monumental, Lima. Peru are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Peru - Bolivia. Kick-off is 01:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Peru: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored three and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Bolivia: they come in on four defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and four defeats from the last four, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those four they scored no and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Peru | Bolivia |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLL | LLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 12 | 0 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 21% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Peru's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Peru at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Peru's way, especially at Estadio Monumental.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Peru or Bolivia?
Peru, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Peru, 29% the draw and 21% Bolivia.
When and where is Peru vs Bolivia being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio Monumental, Lima, kick-off 01:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Peru and Bolivia?
Peru 2-0 Bolivia on 21 December 2025.
What is the recent form of Peru and Bolivia?
Peru have taken 1 points from their last five (LLDLL), Bolivia 0 from theirs (LLLL). Most recently Peru took a 0-2 defeat away at Colombia and Bolivia a 0-4 defeat away at Argentina.
How many goals are expected in Peru vs Bolivia?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 1.60 for Peru and 0.00 for Bolivia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.