Qatar vs South Korea match summary and prediction — Friendlies
Our model makes South Korea the pick at 56% for Qatar vs South Korea. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Qatar host South Korea on 17 November 2026 at Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha. South Korea are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Qatar - South Korea. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Qatar: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
South Korea: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Qatar | South Korea |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWL | WDLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 4 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 17% | 56% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans South Korea's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards South Korea at 56%, a gap of 29 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Qatar or South Korea?
South Korea, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 17% Qatar, 27% the draw and 56% South Korea.
When and where is Qatar vs South Korea being played?
17 November 2026 at Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Qatar and South Korea met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Qatar and South Korea?
Qatar have taken 8 points from their last five (DDWWL), South Korea 7 from theirs (WDLWL). Most recently Qatar took a 0-0 draw away at Saudi Arabia and South Korea a 2-0 win at home to Uzbekistan.
How many goals are expected in Qatar vs South Korea?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.40 for Qatar and 1.60 for South Korea. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.