Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan match summary and prediction — Friendlies
Our model makes Saudi Arabia the pick at 45% for Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Saudi Arabia face Uzbekistan on 17 November 2026. Saudi Arabia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Saudi Arabia - Uzbekistan. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Saudi Arabia: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eight and conceded no, with five clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Uzbekistan: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Saudi Arabia | Uzbekistan |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWW | LLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 0 | 10 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 5 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 23% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Saudi Arabia's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Saudi Arabia at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Saudi Arabia's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Saudi Arabia or Uzbekistan?
Saudi Arabia, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Saudi Arabia, 33% the draw and 23% Uzbekistan.
When and where is Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Have Saudi Arabia and Uzbekistan met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Saudi Arabia and Uzbekistan?
Saudi Arabia have taken 13 points from their last five (WDWWW), Uzbekistan 6 from theirs (LLWWL). Most recently Saudi Arabia took a 2-0 win at home to United Arab Emirates and Uzbekistan a 2-3 defeat at home to Russia.
How many goals are expected in Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.60 for Saudi Arabia and 1.00 for Uzbekistan. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.