Russia vs Venezuela: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Russia the pick at 70% for Russia vs Venezuela. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Russia face Venezuela on 17 November 2026 at Ozon Arena, Krasnodar. Russia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 70%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Russia - Venezuela. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Russia: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 17 and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Venezuela: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Russia | Venezuela |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWW | DDLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 17 / 5 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 70% | 14% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Russia's way at 71%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Russia at 70%, a gap of 53 percentage points to the next outcome. Russia's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Russia's way, especially at Ozon Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Russia or Venezuela?
Russia, with an implied win probability of roughly 70%. The full split is 70% Russia, 17% the draw and 14% Venezuela.
When and where is Russia vs Venezuela being played?
17 November 2026 at Ozon Arena, Krasnodar, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Russia and Venezuela met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Russia and Venezuela?
Russia have taken 13 points from their last five (WDWWW), Venezuela 5 from theirs (DDLWL). Most recently Russia took a 3-2 win away at Uzbekistan and Venezuela a 0-0 draw away at Jordan.
How many goals are expected in Russia vs Venezuela?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Russia and 1.00 for Venezuela. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.