Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Pohang Steelers and Jeju United FC on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Pohang Steelers host Jeju United FC on 1 November 2026 at Pohang Steel Yard, Pohang. Jeju United FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This relegation group 34 fixture in K League 1 is listed as Pohang Steelers - Jeju United FC. Kick-off is 05:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Pohang Steelers: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (5 scored and 13 conceded in eight matches, 0.62 and 1.62 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -9.
Jeju United FC: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Pohang Steelers | Jeju United FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -9 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLL | LLLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 10 | 7 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.62 / 1.62 | 1.17 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.8 | 38.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 36% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Pohang Steelers 42.8 versus Jeju United FC 38.8, a gap of 3.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Jeju United FC's way at 44%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Jeju United FC is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Pohang Steelers or Jeju United FC?
Jeju United FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 29% Pohang Steelers, 35% the draw and 36% Jeju United FC.
When and where is Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC being played?
1 November 2026 at Pohang Steel Yard, Pohang, kick-off 05:00 UTC.
Have Pohang Steelers and Jeju United FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Pohang Steelers and Jeju United FC?
Pohang Steelers have taken 2 points from their last five (LDDLL), Jeju United FC 4 from theirs (LLLWD). Most recently Pohang Steelers took a 0-3 defeat away at Kashima and Jeju United FC a 1-3 defeat away at Incheon United.
How many goals are expected in Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.00 for Pohang Steelers and 1.20 for Jeju United FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.