Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec match summary and prediction — Canadian Premier League
Our model makes Cavalry FC the pick at 38% for Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Cavalry FC host Supra du Quebec on 7 November 2026 at ATCO Field. Cavalry FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This semi finals fixture in Canadian Premier League is listed as Cavalry FC - Supra du Quebec. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Cavalry FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +35.
Supra du Quebec: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.6 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cavalry FC | Supra du Quebec |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 4th |
| Goal difference | +35 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDL | WWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 9 | 13 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.1 | 67.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Cavalry FC 57.1 versus Supra du Quebec 67.6, a gap of 10.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.50, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Cavalry FC's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Cavalry FC at 38%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Cavalry FC's way, especially at ATCO Field.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cavalry FC or Supra du Quebec?
Cavalry FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Cavalry FC, 29% the draw and 32% Supra du Quebec.
When and where is Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec being played?
7 November 2026 at ATCO Field, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cavalry FC and Supra du Quebec?
Supra du Quebec 2-1 Cavalry FC on 01 November 2026.
What is the recent form of Cavalry FC and Supra du Quebec?
Cavalry FC have taken 7 points from their last five (LWWDL), Supra du Quebec 13 from theirs (WWWDW). Most recently Cavalry FC took a 1-2 defeat away at Supra du Quebec and Supra du Quebec a 2-1 win at home to Cavalry FC.
How many goals are expected in Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.50 — 1.50 for Cavalry FC and 2.00 for Supra du Quebec. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.