France U21 vs Italy U21 match summary and prediction — Friendlies
Our model makes France U21 the pick at 46% for France U21 vs Italy U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
France U21 face Italy U21 on 13 November 2026 at Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval. France U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as France U21 - Italy U21. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
France U21: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored 14 and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Italy U21: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 16 and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | France U21 | Italy U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLW | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 6 | 16 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans France U21's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to France U21 at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts France U21's way, especially at Stade Francis Le Basser.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: France U21 or Italy U21?
France U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% France U21, 25% the draw and 29% Italy U21.
When and where is France U21 vs Italy U21 being played?
13 November 2026 at Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have France U21 and Italy U21 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of France U21 and Italy U21?
France U21 have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWLW), Italy U21 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently France U21 took a 7-1 win at home to Switzerland U21 and Italy U21 a 6-2 win at home to Poland U21.
How many goals are expected in France U21 vs Italy U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for France U21 and 1.35 for Italy U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.