Croatia U21 vs Germany U21 — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Croatia U21 the pick at 45% for Croatia U21 vs Germany U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Germany U21 travel to Croatia U21 on 17 November 2026 at Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka. Croatia U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Croatia U21 - Germany U21. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Croatia U21: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Germany U21: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 15 and conceded one, with four clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Croatia U21 | Germany U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWDW | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 4 | 15 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Croatia U21's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Croatia U21 at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Croatia U21's way, especially at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Croatia U21 or Germany U21?
Croatia U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Croatia U21, 26% the draw and 29% Germany U21.
When and where is Croatia U21 vs Germany U21 being played?
17 November 2026 at Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Croatia U21 and Germany U21 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Croatia U21 and Germany U21?
Croatia U21 have taken 10 points from their last five (WLWDW), Germany U21 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Croatia U21 took a 1-0 win away at Lithuania U21 and Germany U21 a 2-0 win at home to Georgia U21.
How many goals are expected in Croatia U21 vs Germany U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Croatia U21 and 1.35 for Germany U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.