Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC match summary and prediction — Coupe de France
Our model makes Caen PTT the pick at 46% for Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Caen PTT host Chambly Thelle FC on 14 November 2026. Caen PTT are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Caen PTT - Chambly Thelle FC. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Caen PTT: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Chambly Thelle FC: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Caen PTT | Chambly Thelle FC |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWL | WWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 11 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Caen PTT's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Caen PTT at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Caen PTT or Chambly Thelle FC?
Caen PTT, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Caen PTT, 23% the draw and 31% Chambly Thelle FC.
When and where is Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Caen PTT and Chambly Thelle FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Caen PTT and Chambly Thelle FC?
Caen PTT have taken 9 points from their last five (LWWWL), Chambly Thelle FC 12 from theirs (WWWLW). Most recently Caen PTT took a 1-2 defeat away at Yvetot and Chambly Thelle FC a 2-1 win at home to Chantilly.
How many goals are expected in Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Caen PTT and 1.35 for Chambly Thelle FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.