Balagne vs Montpellier match summary and prediction — Coupe de France
Our model makes Montpellier the pick at 47% for Balagne vs Montpellier. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Montpellier travel to Balagne on 14 November 2026. Montpellier are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Balagne - Montpellier. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Balagne: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored five and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Montpellier: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Balagne | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWL | LWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 8 | 12 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 47% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.15, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Montpellier's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Montpellier at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Montpellier's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Balagne or Montpellier?
Montpellier, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 28% Balagne, 25% the draw and 47% Montpellier.
When and where is Balagne vs Montpellier being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Balagne and Montpellier met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Balagne and Montpellier?
Balagne have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDWL), Montpellier 12 from theirs (LWWWW). Most recently Balagne took a 0-3 defeat away at Lille II and Montpellier a 2-3 defeat at home to Metz.
How many goals are expected in Balagne vs Montpellier?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.15 — 1.35 for Balagne and 1.80 for Montpellier. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.