Racing Besançon vs APM Metz: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Racing Besançon the pick at 46% for Racing Besançon vs APM Metz. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Racing Besançon host APM Metz on 14 November 2026. Racing Besançon are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Racing Besançon - APM Metz. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Racing Besançon: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
APM Metz: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Racing Besançon | APM Metz |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWDD | WLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 8 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Racing Besançon's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Racing Besançon at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Racing Besançon's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Racing Besançon or APM Metz?
Racing Besançon, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Racing Besançon, 23% the draw and 31% APM Metz.
When and where is Racing Besançon vs APM Metz being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Racing Besançon and APM Metz met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Racing Besançon and APM Metz?
Racing Besançon have taken 6 points from their last five (DLWDD), APM Metz 4 from theirs (WLDLL). Most recently Racing Besançon took a 4-4 draw away at Torcy and APM Metz a 5-2 win away at Progres Niederkorn.
How many goals are expected in Racing Besançon vs APM Metz?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Racing Besançon and 1.35 for APM Metz. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.