Bressuire vs Challans: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Bressuire the pick at 46% for Bressuire vs Challans. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Bressuire host Challans on 14 November 2026. Bressuire are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Bressuire - Challans. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Bressuire: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Challans: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored 15 and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Bressuire | Challans |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLD | WWWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 12 | 15 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Bressuire's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Bressuire at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Challans' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bressuire or Challans?
Bressuire, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Bressuire, 23% the draw and 31% Challans.
When and where is Bressuire vs Challans being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Bressuire and Challans met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Bressuire and Challans?
Bressuire have taken 4 points from their last five (LWLLD), Challans 10 from theirs (WWWDL). Most recently Bressuire took a 0-2 defeat at home to Bordeaux and Challans a 9-0 win at home to Châtellerault.
How many goals are expected in Bressuire vs Challans?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Bressuire and 1.35 for Challans. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.