Buxerolles vs Sablé — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Buxerolles the pick at 46% for Buxerolles vs Sablé. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sablé travel to Buxerolles on 14 November 2026. Buxerolles are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Buxerolles - Sablé. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Buxerolles: Match-by-match form is incomplete in our feed for this competition, so the table and the model carry the weight here. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Sablé: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored three and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Buxerolles | Sablé |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | — | DLLDW |
| Points from last 5 | — | 5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Buxerolles' way at 51%.
- Double chance: Widening it out, Buxerolles or draw is rated 69% and Sablé or draw 54%, with anything but a stalemate at 77%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Buxerolles at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Buxerolles' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Buxerolles or Sablé?
Buxerolles, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Buxerolles, 23% the draw and 31% Sablé.
When and where is Buxerolles vs Sablé being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Buxerolles and Sablé met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
How many goals are expected in Buxerolles vs Sablé?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Buxerolles and 1.35 for Sablé. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.