Castelbourgeois vs Nantes: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Nantes the pick at 42% for Castelbourgeois vs Nantes. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Castelbourgeois host Nantes on 15 November 2026. Nantes are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Castelbourgeois - Nantes. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Castelbourgeois: Match-by-match form is incomplete in our feed for this competition, so the table and the model carry the weight here. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Nantes: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Castelbourgeois | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | — | WDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | — | 5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 42% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Nantes' way at 53%.
- Double chance: Widening it out, Castelbourgeois or draw is rated 58% and Nantes or draw 71%, with anything but a stalemate at 71%.
- First-half outlook: Split across the halves, the model's first-half lines are 0.60 and 0.60 — a first half with goals in it.
The call
The model edges towards Nantes at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Castelbourgeois or Nantes?
Nantes, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 29% Castelbourgeois, 29% the draw and 42% Nantes.
When and where is Castelbourgeois vs Nantes being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Castelbourgeois and Nantes met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
How many goals are expected in Castelbourgeois vs Nantes?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 1.35 for Castelbourgeois and 1.00 for Nantes. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.