Chauny vs Le Pays du Valois: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Chauny the pick at 46% for Chauny vs Le Pays du Valois. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Le Pays du Valois travel to Chauny on 14 November 2026. Chauny are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Chauny - Le Pays du Valois. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Chauny: they come in on back-to-back defeats. That is no wins, no draws and two defeats from the last two, worth 0 points. Across those two they scored no and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Le Pays du Valois: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Chauny | Le Pays du Valois |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LL | LDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 0 / 8 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Chauny's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Chauny at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Le Pays du Valois' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Chauny or Le Pays du Valois?
Chauny, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Chauny, 23% the draw and 31% Le Pays du Valois.
When and where is Chauny vs Le Pays du Valois being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Chauny and Le Pays du Valois met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Chauny and Le Pays du Valois?
Chauny have taken 0 points from their last two (LL), Le Pays du Valois 7 from theirs (LDWWL). Most recently Chauny took a 0-4 defeat at home to Drancy and Le Pays du Valois a 1-2 defeat at home to Epinal.
How many goals are expected in Chauny vs Le Pays du Valois?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Chauny and 1.35 for Le Pays du Valois. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.