Dijon vs Orleans match summary and prediction — Coupe de France
Our model makes Dijon the pick at 48% for Dijon vs Orleans. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Dijon face Orleans on 13 November 2026. Dijon are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Dijon - Orleans. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Dijon: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Orleans: they come in on two successive draws, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, four draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Dijon | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLW | DDLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 9 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 33% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Dijon's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Dijon at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Dijon's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dijon or Orleans?
Dijon, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Dijon, 18% the draw and 33% Orleans.
When and where is Dijon vs Orleans being played?
13 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Dijon and Orleans met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Dijon and Orleans?
Dijon have taken 9 points from their last five (WWLLW), Orleans 4 from theirs (DDLDD). Most recently Dijon took a 1-0 win at home to RED Star FC 93 and Orleans a 2-2 draw away at Valenciennes.
How many goals are expected in Dijon vs Orleans?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.80 for Dijon and 2.00 for Orleans. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.