Rumilly Vallières vs Saint Etienne: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Saint Etienne the pick at 52% for Rumilly Vallières vs Saint Etienne. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Saint Etienne travel to Rumilly Vallières on 15 November 2026. Saint Etienne are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Rumilly Vallières - Saint Etienne. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Rumilly Vallières: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored 16 and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Saint Etienne: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded three, with four clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Rumilly Vallières | Saint Etienne |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLL | WLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 16 / 9 | 6 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 23% | 52% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.75, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Saint Etienne's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Saint Etienne at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rumilly Vallières or Saint Etienne?
Saint Etienne, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 23% Rumilly Vallières, 25% the draw and 52% Saint Etienne.
When and where is Rumilly Vallières vs Saint Etienne being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Rumilly Vallières and Saint Etienne met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Rumilly Vallières and Saint Etienne?
Rumilly Vallières have taken 9 points from their last five (WWWLL), Saint Etienne 12 from theirs (WLWWW). Most recently Rumilly Vallières took a 5-0 win at home to Istres and Saint Etienne a 2-0 win at home to Laval.
How many goals are expected in Rumilly Vallières vs Saint Etienne?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.75 — 1.35 for Rumilly Vallières and 1.40 for Saint Etienne. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.