Grau-du-Roi vs Riviera: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Grau-du-Roi the pick at 46% for Grau-du-Roi vs Riviera. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Riviera travel to Grau-du-Roi on 14 November 2026. Grau-du-Roi are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Grau-du-Roi - Riviera. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Grau-du-Roi: they come in on the back of a defeat. That is no wins, no draws and one defeat from the last one, worth 0 points. Across those one they scored no and conceded two, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Riviera: Match-by-match form is incomplete in our feed for this competition, so the table and the model carry the weight here. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Grau-du-Roi | Riviera |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | L | — |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | — |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Grau-du-Roi's way at 51%.
- Double chance: Widening it out, Grau-du-Roi or draw is rated 69% and Riviera or draw 54%, with anything but a stalemate at 77%.
- First-half outlook: Split across the halves, the model's first-half lines are 0.60 and 0.60 — a first half with goals in it.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Grau-du-Roi at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
The thing to watch is the first goal. In a fixture the model rates this closely, whoever scores first tends to dictate everything that follows.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Grau-du-Roi or Riviera?
Grau-du-Roi, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Grau-du-Roi, 23% the draw and 31% Riviera.
When and where is Grau-du-Roi vs Riviera being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Grau-du-Roi and Riviera met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
How many goals are expected in Grau-du-Roi vs Riviera?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Grau-du-Roi and 1.35 for Riviera. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.