Croix Football IC vs Thaon: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Thaon the pick at 44% for Croix Football IC vs Thaon. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Croix Football IC face Thaon on 14 November 2026. Thaon are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Croix Football IC - Thaon. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Croix Football IC: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded one, with four clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Thaon: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Croix Football IC | Thaon |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDWW | DLWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 1 | 5 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 26% | 44% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.35, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Thaon's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Thaon at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Croix Football IC or Thaon?
Thaon, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 26% Croix Football IC, 30% the draw and 44% Thaon.
When and where is Croix Football IC vs Thaon being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Croix Football IC and Thaon met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Croix Football IC and Thaon?
Croix Football IC have taken 13 points from their last five (WWDWW), Thaon 5 from theirs (DLWDL). Most recently Croix Football IC took a 2-0 win at home to OCPAM and Thaon a 2-2 draw away at Chalon-sur-Saône.
How many goals are expected in Croix Football IC vs Thaon?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.35 — 0.00 for Croix Football IC and 1.35 for Thaon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.