Le Touquet vs Avranches: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Le Touquet the pick at 48% for Le Touquet vs Avranches. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Le Touquet face Avranches on 14 November 2026. Le Touquet are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Le Touquet - Avranches. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Le Touquet: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Avranches: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored nine and conceded one, with four clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Le Touquet | Avranches |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWDD | WWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 7 | 9 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 31% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.85, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Le Touquet's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Le Touquet at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Le Touquet or Avranches?
Le Touquet, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Le Touquet, 21% the draw and 31% Avranches.
When and where is Le Touquet vs Avranches being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Le Touquet and Avranches met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Le Touquet and Avranches?
Le Touquet have taken 6 points from their last five (LDWDD), Avranches 12 from theirs (WWWWL). Most recently Le Touquet took a 0-1 defeat at home to RC Calais and Avranches a 2-0 win at home to Pontivy GSI.
How many goals are expected in Le Touquet vs Avranches?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.85 — 1.35 for Le Touquet and 0.50 for Avranches. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.