Lourdes vs PAU — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Lourdes and PAU on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Lourdes face PAU on 14 November 2026. PAU are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Lourdes - PAU. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Lourdes: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
PAU: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Lourdes | PAU |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLL | LWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 9 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 38% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.55, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans PAU's way at 49%.
The call
The model does not commit. PAU is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. PAU's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lourdes or PAU?
PAU, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 36% Lourdes, 26% the draw and 38% PAU.
When and where is Lourdes vs PAU being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Lourdes and PAU met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Lourdes and PAU?
Lourdes have taken 3 points from their last five (LLWLL), PAU 12 from theirs (LWWWW). Most recently Lourdes took a 1-3 defeat at home to CD Sant Jordi and PAU a 0-2 defeat at home to Nantes.
How many goals are expected in Lourdes vs PAU?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.55 — 1.35 for Lourdes and 1.20 for PAU. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.