Marseille Endoume vs Toulon: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Marseille Endoume the pick at 46% for Marseille Endoume vs Toulon. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Marseille Endoume host Toulon on 15 November 2026. Marseille Endoume are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Marseille Endoume - Toulon. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Marseille Endoume: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored nine and conceded 22, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Toulon: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored two and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Marseille Endoume | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLW | LDDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 22 | 2 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Marseille Endoume's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Marseille Endoume at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Marseille Endoume or Toulon?
Marseille Endoume, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Marseille Endoume, 23% the draw and 31% Toulon.
When and where is Marseille Endoume vs Toulon being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Marseille Endoume and Toulon met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Marseille Endoume and Toulon?
Marseille Endoume have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLLW), Toulon 5 from theirs (LDDWL). Most recently Marseille Endoume took a 2-12 defeat at home to Rousset-Ste Victoire and Toulon a 0-2 defeat away at UF Touraine.
How many goals are expected in Marseille Endoume vs Toulon?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Marseille Endoume and 1.35 for Toulon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.