US Montreuil-sur-Mer vs Loon-Plage — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes US Montreuil-sur-Mer the pick at 46% for US Montreuil-sur-Mer vs Loon-Plage. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Loon-Plage travel to US Montreuil-sur-Mer on 15 November 2026. US Montreuil-sur-Mer are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as US Montreuil-sur-Mer - Loon-Plage. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
US Montreuil-sur-Mer: Match-by-match form is incomplete in our feed for this competition, so the table and the model carry the weight here. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Loon-Plage: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored six and conceded 13, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | US Montreuil-sur-Mer | Loon-Plage |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | — | DLLDW |
| Points from last 5 | — | 5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans US Montreuil-sur-Mer's way at 51%.
- Double chance: Widening it out, US Montreuil-sur-Mer or draw is rated 69% and Loon-Plage or draw 54%, with anything but a stalemate at 77%.
The call
The model tilts to US Montreuil-sur-Mer at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. US Montreuil-sur-Mer's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: US Montreuil-sur-Mer or Loon-Plage?
US Montreuil-sur-Mer, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% US Montreuil-sur-Mer, 23% the draw and 31% Loon-Plage.
When and where is US Montreuil-sur-Mer vs Loon-Plage being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have US Montreuil-sur-Mer and Loon-Plage met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
How many goals are expected in US Montreuil-sur-Mer vs Loon-Plage?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for US Montreuil-sur-Mer and 1.35 for Loon-Plage. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.