Pays Neslois vs Furiani-Agliani: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Pays Neslois the pick at 46% for Pays Neslois vs Furiani-Agliani. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Pays Neslois face Furiani-Agliani on 15 November 2026. Pays Neslois are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Pays Neslois - Furiani-Agliani. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Pays Neslois: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those four they scored five and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Furiani-Agliani: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Pays Neslois | Furiani-Agliani |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLW | DWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 10 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Pays Neslois' way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Pays Neslois at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Furiani-Agliani's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Pays Neslois or Furiani-Agliani?
Pays Neslois, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Pays Neslois, 23% the draw and 31% Furiani-Agliani.
When and where is Pays Neslois vs Furiani-Agliani being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Pays Neslois and Furiani-Agliani met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Pays Neslois and Furiani-Agliani?
Pays Neslois have taken 4 points from their last four (LDLW), Furiani-Agliani 10 from theirs (DWLWW). Most recently Pays Neslois took a 0-1 defeat at home to Gravelines and Furiani-Agliani a 2-2 draw away at St-Pryvé St-Hilaire.
How many goals are expected in Pays Neslois vs Furiani-Agliani?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Pays Neslois and 1.35 for Furiani-Agliani. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.