Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Cheminots Paray the pick at 46% for Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cheminots Paray face Villefranche on 14 November 2026. Cheminots Paray are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Cheminots Paray - Villefranche. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Cheminots Paray: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and one defeat from the last two, worth 3 points. Across those two they scored one and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Villefranche: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cheminots Paray | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LW | LDWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 4 | 4 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Cheminots Paray's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Cheminots Paray at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Cheminots Paray's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cheminots Paray or Villefranche?
Cheminots Paray, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Cheminots Paray, 23% the draw and 31% Villefranche.
When and where is Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Cheminots Paray and Villefranche met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Cheminots Paray and Villefranche?
Cheminots Paray have taken 3 points from their last two (LW), Villefranche 4 from theirs (LDWLL). Most recently Cheminots Paray took a 0-4 defeat at home to Orleans and Villefranche a 0-2 defeat at home to Quevilly.
How many goals are expected in Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Cheminots Paray and 1.35 for Villefranche. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.