Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Pontivy GSI the pick at 46% for Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
TA Rennes travel to Pontivy GSI on 14 November 2026. Pontivy GSI are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Pontivy GSI - TA Rennes. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Pontivy GSI: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
TA Rennes: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Pontivy GSI | TA Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLD | DLWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 7 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Pontivy GSI's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Pontivy GSI at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. TA Rennes' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Pontivy GSI or TA Rennes?
Pontivy GSI, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Pontivy GSI, 23% the draw and 31% TA Rennes.
When and where is Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Pontivy GSI and TA Rennes met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Pontivy GSI and TA Rennes?
Pontivy GSI have taken 3 points from their last five (LDDLD), TA Rennes 6 from theirs (DLWDD). Most recently Pontivy GSI took a 0-2 defeat away at Avranches and TA Rennes a 2-2 draw at home to Chauray.
How many goals are expected in Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Pontivy GSI and 1.35 for TA Rennes. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.