Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Stade Pontivy the pick at 46% for Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Stade Pontivy face Stade Plabennec on 15 November 2026. Stade Pontivy are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Stade Pontivy - Stade Plabennec. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Stade Pontivy: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Stade Plabennec: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Stade Pontivy | Stade Plabennec |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLLL | LWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 4 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Stade Pontivy's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Stade Pontivy at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Stade Pontivy or Stade Plabennec?
Stade Pontivy, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Stade Pontivy, 23% the draw and 31% Stade Plabennec.
When and where is Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Stade Pontivy and Stade Plabennec met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Stade Pontivy and Stade Plabennec?
Stade Pontivy have taken 4 points from their last five (WDLLL), Stade Plabennec 4 from theirs (LWDLL). Most recently Stade Pontivy took a 3-1 win at home to CPBB Rennes and Stade Plabennec a 1-2 defeat at home to Les Herbiers.
How many goals are expected in Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Stade Pontivy and 1.35 for Stade Plabennec. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.