St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes St-Philbert Gd Lieu the pick at 46% for St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
St-Philbert Gd Lieu host La Roche VF on 13 November 2026. St-Philbert Gd Lieu are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as St-Philbert Gd Lieu - La Roche VF. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
St-Philbert Gd Lieu: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored four and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
La Roche VF: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | St-Philbert Gd Lieu | La Roche VF |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWL | WWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 7 | 9 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans St-Philbert Gd Lieu's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to St-Philbert Gd Lieu at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. La Roche VF's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: St-Philbert Gd Lieu or La Roche VF?
St-Philbert Gd Lieu, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% St-Philbert Gd Lieu, 23% the draw and 31% La Roche VF.
When and where is St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF being played?
13 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have St-Philbert Gd Lieu and La Roche VF met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of St-Philbert Gd Lieu and La Roche VF?
St-Philbert Gd Lieu have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDWL), La Roche VF 12 from theirs (WWLWW). Most recently St-Philbert Gd Lieu took a 0-1 defeat away at Les Sables and La Roche VF a 1-0 win away at Gobelins.
How many goals are expected in St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for St-Philbert Gd Lieu and 1.35 for La Roche VF. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.