St Sebastien vs La Baule-Le Pouliguen match summary and prediction — Coupe de France
Our model makes St Sebastien the pick at 46% for St Sebastien vs La Baule-Le Pouliguen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
St Sebastien host La Baule-Le Pouliguen on 14 November 2026. St Sebastien are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as St Sebastien - La Baule-Le Pouliguen. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
St Sebastien: Match-by-match form is incomplete in our feed for this competition, so the table and the model carry the weight here. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
La Baule-Le Pouliguen: they come in on the back of a defeat. That is no wins, no draws and one defeat from the last one, worth 0 points. Across those one they scored no and conceded one, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | St Sebastien | La Baule-Le Pouliguen |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | — | L |
| Points from last 5 | — | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans St Sebastien's way at 51%.
- Double chance: Widening it out, St Sebastien or draw is rated 69% and La Baule-Le Pouliguen or draw 54%, with anything but a stalemate at 77%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to St Sebastien at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: St Sebastien or La Baule-Le Pouliguen?
St Sebastien, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% St Sebastien, 23% the draw and 31% La Baule-Le Pouliguen.
When and where is St Sebastien vs La Baule-Le Pouliguen being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have St Sebastien and La Baule-Le Pouliguen met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
How many goals are expected in St Sebastien vs La Baule-Le Pouliguen?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for St Sebastien and 1.35 for La Baule-Le Pouliguen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.