Saint-Pauloise vs La Tamponnaise — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Saint-Pauloise the pick at 46% for Saint-Pauloise vs La Tamponnaise. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Saint-Pauloise host La Tamponnaise on 15 November 2026. Saint-Pauloise are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Saint-Pauloise - La Tamponnaise. Kick-off is 13:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Saint-Pauloise: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and two defeats from the last three, worth 3 points. Across those three they scored three and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
La Tamponnaise: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and one defeat from the last three, worth 4 points. Across those three they scored one and conceded one, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Saint-Pauloise | La Tamponnaise |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWL | LWD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 9 | 1 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Saint-Pauloise's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Saint-Pauloise at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Saint-Pauloise or La Tamponnaise?
Saint-Pauloise, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Saint-Pauloise, 23% the draw and 31% La Tamponnaise.
When and where is Saint-Pauloise vs La Tamponnaise being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 13:45 UTC.
Have Saint-Pauloise and La Tamponnaise met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Saint-Pauloise and La Tamponnaise?
Saint-Pauloise have taken 3 points from their last three (LWL), La Tamponnaise 4 from theirs (LWD). Most recently Saint-Pauloise took a 0-6 defeat away at Laval and La Tamponnaise a 0-1 defeat away at Grasse.
How many goals are expected in Saint-Pauloise vs La Tamponnaise?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Saint-Pauloise and 1.35 for La Tamponnaise. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.