Tinteniac vs Concarneau — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Concarneau the pick at 43% for Tinteniac vs Concarneau. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Tinteniac host Concarneau on 14 November 2026. Concarneau are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Tinteniac - Concarneau. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Tinteniac: Match-by-match form is incomplete in our feed for this competition, so the table and the model carry the weight here. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Concarneau: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Tinteniac | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | — | WLDWD |
| Points from last 5 | — | 8 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 43% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.35, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Concarneau's way at 51%.
- Double chance: Widening it out, Tinteniac or draw is rated 57% and Concarneau or draw 64%, with anything but a stalemate at 79%.
- First-half outlook: Split across the halves, the model's first-half lines are 0.60 and 2.00 — a first half with goals in it.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Concarneau at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Tinteniac or Concarneau?
Concarneau, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 36% Tinteniac, 21% the draw and 43% Concarneau.
When and where is Tinteniac vs Concarneau being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Tinteniac and Concarneau met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
How many goals are expected in Tinteniac vs Concarneau?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.35 — 1.35 for Tinteniac and 3.00 for Concarneau. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.