Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Senlis the pick at 46% for Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Senlis face St-Pryvé St-Hilaire on 15 November 2026. Senlis are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This 1/128 finals fixture in Coupe de France is listed as Senlis - St-Pryvé St-Hilaire. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Senlis: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire: they come in on two successive draws, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Senlis | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWW | DDLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Senlis' way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Senlis at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Senlis' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Senlis or St-Pryvé St-Hilaire?
Senlis, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Senlis, 23% the draw and 31% St-Pryvé St-Hilaire.
When and where is Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Senlis and St-Pryvé St-Hilaire met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Senlis and St-Pryvé St-Hilaire?
Senlis have taken 9 points from their last five (LWLWW), St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 3 from theirs (DDLDL). Most recently Senlis took a 0-1 defeat at home to Le Portel and St-Pryvé St-Hilaire a 2-2 draw at home to Furiani-Agliani.
How many goals are expected in Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Senlis and 1.35 for St-Pryvé St-Hilaire. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.