Palestine vs Iran match summary and prediction — Friendlies
There is barely anything between Palestine and Iran on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Iran travel to Palestine on 14 November 2026. Palestine are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Palestine - Iran. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Palestine: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored 13 and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Iran: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three draws before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Palestine | Iran |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWD | LLDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 6 | 4 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 36% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Palestine's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Palestine is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Palestine's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Palestine or Iran?
Palestine, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Palestine, 27% the draw and 36% Iran.
When and where is Palestine vs Iran being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Palestine and Iran met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Palestine and Iran?
Palestine have taken 8 points from their last four (WDWD), Iran 3 from theirs (LLDDD). Most recently Palestine took a 5-0 win away at China and Iran a 0-2 defeat away at Russia.
How many goals are expected in Palestine vs Iran?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 1.35 for Palestine and 1.00 for Iran. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.