Drogheda United vs UCD: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Drogheda United the pick at 51% for Drogheda United vs UCD. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
UCD travel to Drogheda United on 7 November 2026 at Tallaght Stadium, Dublin. Drogheda United are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This final fixture in Premier Division is listed as Drogheda United - UCD. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Drogheda United: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -13.
UCD: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Drogheda United | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | — |
| Goal difference | -13 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLW | WWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 6 | 13 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.8 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 22% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Drogheda United 41.8 versus UCD 25.0, a gap of 16.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.75, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Drogheda United's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Drogheda United at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Drogheda United's way, especially at Tallaght Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Drogheda United or UCD?
Drogheda United, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% Drogheda United, 27% the draw and 22% UCD.
When and where is Drogheda United vs UCD being played?
7 November 2026 at Tallaght Stadium, Dublin, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Drogheda United and UCD met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Drogheda United and UCD?
Drogheda United have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), UCD 13 from theirs (WWWWD). Most recently Drogheda United took a 2-0 win at home to Galway United and UCD a 3-1 win away at Bray Wanderers.
How many goals are expected in Drogheda United vs UCD?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.75 — 1.40 for Drogheda United and 1.35 for UCD. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.