San Diego Wave W vs Utah Royals W match summary and prediction — NWSL Women
Our model makes San Diego Wave W the pick at 46% for San Diego Wave W vs Utah Royals W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
San Diego Wave W face Utah Royals W on 7 November 2026 at Snapdragon Stadium. San Diego Wave W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This quarter finals fixture in NWSL Women is listed as San Diego Wave W - Utah Royals W. Kick-off is 03:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
San Diego Wave W: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 20 conceded in 20 matches, 1.25 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.6 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +13.
Utah Royals W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 21 conceded in 20 matches, 1.35 and 1.05 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.4 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | San Diego Wave W | Utah Royals W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 6th |
| Goal difference | +13 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWW | LDLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 4 | 3 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.25 / 1.0 | 1.35 / 1.05 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.75 | 1.55 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 71.6 | 43.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 27% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: San Diego Wave W 71.6 versus Utah Royals W 43.4, a gap of 28.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans San Diego Wave W's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to San Diego Wave W at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. San Diego Wave W's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts San Diego Wave W's way, especially at Snapdragon Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: San Diego Wave W or Utah Royals W?
San Diego Wave W, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% San Diego Wave W, 27% the draw and 27% Utah Royals W.
When and where is San Diego Wave W vs Utah Royals W being played?
7 November 2026 at Snapdragon Stadium, kick-off 03:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between San Diego Wave W and Utah Royals W?
Utah Royals W 1-2 San Diego Wave W on 22 March 2026.
What is the recent form of San Diego Wave W and Utah Royals W?
San Diego Wave W have taken 13 points from their last five (WDWWW), Utah Royals W 5 from theirs (LDLDW). Most recently San Diego Wave W took a 1-0 win away at Bay FC W and Utah Royals W a 0-2 defeat away at NJ/NY Gotham FC W.
How many goals are expected in San Diego Wave W vs Utah Royals W?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 1.00 for San Diego Wave W and 0.60 for Utah Royals W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.